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14

Cheerleader

4yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 8 · OR 50

Pontefract · Constant Security Services Handicap · 5f 3y

#12

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Started 2025 with a bang for this yard, with back-to-back 5f victories at Redcar/Catterick. Hasn't hit same heights so far this season but raced too freely upped to 6f for the first time when sixth at Ripon 9 days ago. Handicapper has given her a chance and return to 5f can help.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Beverley 05/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 64 · 5f Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/07/2025 · OR 64 par5/075OR 645 @ Ripon 04/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 62 · 5f Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/08/2025 · OR 62 par5 @ Catterick 18/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 61 · 5f Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/08/2025 · OR 61 par18/085OR 615 @ Thirsk 05/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 59 · 5f Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 59 par5 @ Pontefract 07/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 56 · 5f3y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 56 par7/075OR 566 @ Ripon 27/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 54 · 5f Goo 135 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 54 par5 @ Catterick 17/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 54 · 5f Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 54 par17/085OR 546 @ Redcar 15/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 54 · 5f Goo 127 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Ripon 26/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 52 · 6f Gd 127 · beat its mark26/09/2026 · OR 52 par26/096OR 52projClass-projected finish: 12th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26Ripon66th6th0
2026-09-15Redcar610th10th0
2026-08-17Catterick53rd2nd+1
2026-07-27Ripon63rd3rd0
2026-07-07Pontefract54th3rd+1
2026-06-05Thirsk59th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/075/0617/0826/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 5-14 · tight 54/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength20%

Delivery trend +4.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20257th5/174%25%-0.49
04/08/20252nd17/255%86%+0.30
18/08/20258th10/147%0%-0.47
05/06/20269th22/10%20%+0.20
07/07/20264th22/10%50%+0.50
27/07/20263rd5/287%60%-0.27
17/08/20263rd9/153%80%+0.27
15/09/202610th9/153%25%-0.28
26/09/20266th16/116%44%+0.29