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9

Go Victor

3yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 10 · OR 60

Pontefract · Constant Security Services Handicap · 5f 3y

#3

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bounced back to form to win over 6f here in July and, equipped with cheekpieces, posted a career-best display when resuming winning ways at Beverley (5f) 2 weeks ago, leading final 1f and drawing clear. 3 lb rise looks fair given manner of that victory and he's respected again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength53%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Chester 20/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 66 · 7f1y GS 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 66 par20/095OR 665 @ Haydock 17/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 65 · 6f212y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/10/2025 · OR 65 par5 @ Southwell 07/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 64 · 6f16y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/04/2026 · OR 64 par7/045OR 645 @ Haydock 21/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 62 · 6f212y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Doncaster 03/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 59 · 6f2y GF 130 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 59 par3/076OR 596 @ Pontefract 26/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 55 · 6f Goo 134 · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Chepstow 09/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 58 · 6f16y GF 138 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 58 par9/086OR 586 @ Carlisle 09/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 58 · 5f Goo 133 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Beverley 22/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 57 · 5f Gd 132 · beat its mark22/09/2026 · OR 57 par22/096OR 57projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Beverley61st1st0
2026-09-09Carlisle611th11th0
2026-08-09Chepstow63rd3rd0
2026-07-26Pontefract61st1st0
2026-07-03Doncaster69th9th0
2026-05-21Haydock511th10th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0921/059/0822/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +9.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/09/20258th9/276%13%-0.64
17/10/202511th25/10%0%0.00
07/04/202612th25/10%0%0.00
21/05/202611th50/10%9%+0.09
03/07/20269th66/10%0%0.00
26/07/20261st28/10%100%+1.00
09/08/20263rd7/491%71%-0.19
09/09/202611th20/10%9%+0.09
22/09/20261st12/137%100%+0.63