Knicks
5yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 3 · OR 60
Pontefract · Constant Security Services Handicap · 5f 3y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Ayr | 5 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-09-08 | Leicester | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Chester | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Chester | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Pontefract | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Thirsk | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 22/05/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 16/06/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 44% | -0.41 |
| 29/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 25/07/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 08/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 17/09/2026 | 13th | 11/1 | 42% | 37% | -0.05 |