Speeding Bullet
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 6 · OR 62
Pontefract · Constant Security Services Handicap · 5f 3y
#13
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Redcar | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Newcastle | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Beverley | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Ripon | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Carlisle | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Newcastle | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 28/07/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 05/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 92% | +0.50 |
| 01/05/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 9% | -0.28 |
| 18/05/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 03/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 15/09/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |