4
Beach Holiday
7yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 4 · OR 70
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 52/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength78%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 25/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 01/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 16/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 15/09/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |