2
Boudin
6yo Horse · 8-13 · Draw 2 · OR 75
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-23 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength17%
Delivery trend -6.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |
| 02/01/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 15/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 24/02/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 23/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 21/04/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 01/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |