Golden Candy
9yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 6 · OR 81
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
77%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-06-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 04/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 13/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 03/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 25/08/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 22/09/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |