5
Jonny Quist
7yo Horse · 8-13 · Draw 5 · OR 66
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength37%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 27/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 08/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 02/07/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 08/07/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 10/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 19/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |