1
Back Nine
4yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 1 · OR 44
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 82/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 15/02/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 12/04/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |