Fur Elise
4yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 6 · OR 67
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
85%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-05-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-03-08 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-10-12 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2024-08-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2024 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 12/10/2024 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 08/03/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 21/05/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 23/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |