5

Princess Honor

4yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 5 · OR 30

Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength63%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 27/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 58 · 6f110y Fas 122 · below its mark27/02/2026 · OR 58 par27/02C9OR 58C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 13/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 51 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 51 parC6 @ Charles Town 02/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 48 · 4f110y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/04/2026 · OR 48 par2/04C6OR 48C9 @ Mountaineer 13/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 53 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark13/04/2026 · OR 53 parC6 @ Mountaineer 05/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 53 · 5f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 53 par5/05C6OR 53C9 @ Mountaineer 25/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 5f 123C9 @ Presque Isle Downs 09/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 47 · 6f 125 · below its mark09/06/2026 · OR 47 par9/06C9OR 47C6 @ Mountaineer 22/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 43 · 5f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 43 parC9 @ Mountaineer 14/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 38 · 5f110y Fas 124 · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 38 par14/07C9OR 38projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Mountaineer?7th7th0
2026-06-22Mountaineer?6th3rd+3
2026-06-09Presque Isle Downs?5th5th0
2026-05-25Mountaineer?7th7th0
2026-05-05Mountaineer?3rd0th+3
2026-04-13Mountaineer?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0213/049/0614/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength13%

Delivery trend -5.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/02/20267th12/137%40%+0.03
13/03/20264th25/10%67%+0.67
02/04/20265th11/271%33%-0.38
13/04/20264th11/271%0%-0.71
05/05/20263rd6/168%60%-0.08
25/05/20267th7/282%33%-0.48
09/06/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
22/06/20266th7/163%0%-0.63
14/07/20267th16/116%0%-0.16