3
Rewardann'swarrior
3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 61
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 3-5 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 02/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 23/09/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |