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2

Tiptoetappin

2yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 2 · OR 40

Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼3
Strength86%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Charles Town 17/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 4f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS17/09C6C6 @ Mountaineer 28/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 35 · 5f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/09/2026 · OR 35 par28/09C6OR 35projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 2
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-28Mountaineer?4th1st+3
2026-09-17Charles Town?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0928/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +66.9% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/09/20266th10/147%17%-0.31
28/09/20264th14/126%63%+0.36