Moonpie Delight
3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 49
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
91%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-07-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-06-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -20.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 28/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 09/09/2026 | 7th | 1/1 | 95% | 14% | -0.80 |