Twirlaway
3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 63
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-07-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-04-15 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +12.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 25/05/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 14% | -0.73 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 04/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 21/09/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |