4
Dominant Stranger
10yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 81
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
69%
Place Prob
44%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength97%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 20/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 23/06/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 03/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 21/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |