IvyArcIvyArc
6

Mi Amore

5yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 83

Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength57%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gulfstream 28/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 81 · 1m110y Fas 124 · below its mark28/06/2025 · OR 81 par28/06C8OR 81C8 @ Gulfstream 30/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 82 · 1m70y Fas 124 · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 82 parC8 @ Gulfstream 20/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 86 · 1m110y Fas 122 · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 86 par20/09C8OR 86C7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 18/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 91 · 7f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/01/2026 · OR 91 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 05/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 88 · 1m39y Gd 119 · below its mark05/02/2026 · OR 88 par5/02C8OR 88C6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 20/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 87 · 1m110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 87 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 03/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 81 · 1m39y 123 · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 81 par3/04C8OR 81C7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 25/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 86 · 7f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 86 parC7 @ Thistledown 03/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 85 · 1m 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/06/2026 · OR 85 par3/06C7OR 85projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-03Thistledown?5th4th+1
2026-04-25Tampa Bay Downs?2nd1st+1
2026-04-03Tampa Bay Downs?1st1st0
2026-02-20Tampa Bay Downs?2nd0th+2
2026-02-05Tampa Bay Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-01-18Tampa Bay Downs?5th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0618/013/043/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength78%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/06/20253rd11/486%78%-0.08
30/08/20252nd7/491%88%-0.03
20/09/20254th9/488%70%-0.18
18/01/20265th15/261%43%-0.18
05/02/20263rd13/891%71%-0.20
20/02/20262nd11/486%83%-0.02
03/04/20261st8/1597%100%+0.03
25/04/20262nd14/126%86%+0.59
03/06/20265th11/486%33%-0.52