1

Silent Diva

6yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 70

Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 05/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 67 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark05/08/2025 · OR 67 par5/08C8OR 67C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 01/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 60 · 6f 123 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 60 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 17/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 58 · 1m70y 123 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 58 par17/06C8OR 58C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 03/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 58 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 58 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 27/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 54 · 1m70y 123 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 54 par27/07C8OR 54C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 03/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 57 · 1m70y Fas 125 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 57 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 61 · 1m70y 125 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 61 par18/08C8OR 61C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 07/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 68 · 1m70y 125 · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 68 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 23/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 78 · 6f110y Fas 123 · below its mark23/09/2026 · OR 78 par23/09C8OR 78projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23Presque Isle Downs?6th6th0
2026-09-07Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-08-18Presque Isle Downs?1st1st0
2026-08-03Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-07-27Presque Isle Downs?1st1st0
2026-07-03Presque Isle Downs?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/083/0718/0823/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength69%

Delivery trend -1.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/08/20257th10/147%14%-0.33
01/06/20267th25/10%14%+0.14
17/06/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06
03/07/20265th15/261%43%-0.18
27/07/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
03/08/20264th15/261%50%-0.11
18/08/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
07/09/20264th11/486%40%-0.46
23/09/20266th7/163%17%-0.46