3
Bestball
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 3 · OR 73
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Keeneland | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength73%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 18/09/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 22/10/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 20/11/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 03/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 29/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 08/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |