4
Minotaur
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 4 · OR 102
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-04-11 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 53/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength97%
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 01/03/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 45% | -0.41 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |