Goodie Goomer
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 93
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
62%
Place Prob
47%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-31 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/06/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 02/07/2026 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 11/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 18/09/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |