1

Reeled In

6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 88

Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

23%

Place Prob

28%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength48%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 15/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 89 · 6f110y 123 · below its mark15/09/2025 · OR 89 par15/09C8OR 89C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 09/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 90 · 6f110y 123 · beat its mark09/10/2025 · OR 90 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 01/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 91 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 91 par1/06C6OR 91C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 17/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 91 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/06/2026 · OR 91 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 13/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 90 par13/07C6OR 90C7 @ Presque Isle Downs 29/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 88 · 6f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 88 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 11/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 86 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/08/2026 · OR 86 par11/08C7OR 86C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 25/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 86 · 6f 123 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 86 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 19/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 87 · 6f110y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 87 par19/09C6OR 87projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Presque Isle Downs?8th6th+2
2026-08-25Presque Isle Downs?1st1st0
2026-08-11Presque Isle Downs?5th4th+1
2026-07-29Presque Isle Downs?5th4th+1
2026-07-13Presque Isle Downs?5th3rd+2
2026-06-17Presque Isle Downs?4th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0917/0611/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength10%

Delivery trend -7.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/09/20254th10/147%40%-0.07
09/10/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
01/06/20262nd11/271%75%+0.04
17/06/20264th11/486%25%-0.61
13/07/20265th14/126%43%+0.17
29/07/20265th9/153%0%-0.53
11/08/20265th10/147%0%-0.47
25/08/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
19/09/20268th8/158%13%-0.45