
Reeled In
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 88
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-08-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 09/10/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 25/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 19/09/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 13% | -0.45 |