5

Chicken Parm

6yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 75

Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#6

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼2
Strength46%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gulfstream 28/02/2024 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 67 · 7f110y Fm 123 · below its mark28/02/2024 · OR 67 par28/02C8OR 67C7 @ Gulfstream 18/04/2024 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 69 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/04/2024 · OR 69 parC8 @ Gulfstream 26/05/2024 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 62 · 1m Fm 126 · beat its mark26/05/2024 · OR 62 par26/05C8OR 62C5 @ Delaware Park 22/08/2024 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 79 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2024 · OR 79 parC5 @ Delaware Park 11/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 84 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/09/2024 · OR 84 par11/09C5OR 84C6 @ Delaware Park 11/10/2024 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 87 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/10/2024 · OR 87 parC8 @ Laurel Park 10/11/2024 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 83 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark10/11/2024 · OR 83 par10/11C8OR 83C7 @ Delaware Park 01/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 83 · 1m70y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 83 parC7 @ Delaware Park 20/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 78 · 1m70y Yie 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 78 par20/08C7OR 78projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Delaware Park?9th8th+1
2026-08-01Delaware Park?9th8th+1
2024-11-10Laurel Park?10th10th0
2024-10-11Delaware Park?8th6th+2
2024-09-11Delaware Park?3rd0th+3
2024-08-22Delaware Park?3rd0th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0222/0810/1120/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 45/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength65%

Delivery trend -0.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/02/20243rd2/189%67%-0.23
18/04/20246th8/158%0%-0.58
26/05/20241st9/153%100%+0.47
22/08/20243rd14/126%80%+0.54
11/09/20243rd9/488%71%-0.17
11/10/20248th9/153%22%-0.30
10/11/202410th8/158%18%-0.40
01/08/20269th12/137%11%-0.26
20/08/20269th33/10%11%+0.11