1
Red Haired Gal
5yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 62
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 82% | +0.19 |
| 18/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 17/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 28/09/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |