6

Lady Of The Isles
4yo Filly · 10-6
Stratford · Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲2
Strength13%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Salisbury | 6 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-05-29 | Brighton | 6 | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-05-12 | Bath | 6 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-05-04 | Windsor | 6 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2025-10-14 | Leicester | 6 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-09-22 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 6-6 · tight 90/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -12.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/06/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |
| 18/07/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 22/09/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 14/10/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 79% | +0.52 |
| 04/05/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 12/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 29/05/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 30% | -0.44 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |