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4

Prince Vinny

4yo Gelding · 10-13

Stratford · Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 70y

#5

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bred to need time/distance and shaped in kind on both bumper runs last winter. Offered something to work on sent hurdling on final start for Harriet Dickin, beaten 15 lengths at Exeter (2m) in March. Probably a handicap project for capable new yard, unless the market suggests otherwise.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Ludlow 06/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m7f169y Gd 1546/1154 @ Wincanton 20/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m7f50y Gd 15420/1144 @ Exeter 22/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m161y Gd 15422/034projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-22Exeter46th6th0
2025-11-20Wincanton48th8th0
2025-11-06Ludlow56th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/1120/1122/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 4-4 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength43%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/11/20256th20/10%29%+0.29
20/11/20258th40/10%36%+0.36
22/03/20266th100/10%38%+0.38