4
God Of Fire
6yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 100
Stratford · Thanks To Our Raceday Team Past And Present Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 2f 148y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Newton Abbot | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-28 | Fontwell | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Market Rasen | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-22 | Hereford | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Plumpton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2024 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 90% | +0.02 |
| 04/11/2024 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 31% | -0.17 |
| 14/12/2024 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 06/04/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 22/04/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 18/09/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |