6

Granny B
6yo Mare · 10-2 · OR 71
Stratford · Thanks To Our Raceday Team Past And Present Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 2f 148y
#6
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Worcester | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Warwick | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Market Rasen | 5 | −1 | ||
| 2026-04-06 | Hereford | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-5 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.23 |
| 18/08/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 06/09/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 30% | +0.25 |
| 18/10/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 06/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/07/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 45% | +0.40 |
| 26/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 25/09/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |