6
Another Folly
7yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 105
Stratford · Jodie Standing's Point-To-Point Recruits Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 6f 125y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Warwick | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Compiegne | BHA104 | 4th | 12th | −6 |
| 2026-03-05 | Wincanton | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Ludlow | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-11-19 | Warwick | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Stratford | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 43/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength68%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 06/04/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 06/05/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 30/10/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 19/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 15/01/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 73% | -0.10 |
| 05/03/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 25% | -0.65 |
| 01/04/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |