5
Imperial Bede
8yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 105
Stratford · Jodie Standing's Point-To-Point Recruits Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 6f 125y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Fontwell | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Worcester | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Warwick | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Haydock | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Hereford | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength11%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2024 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 77% | -0.13 |
| 17/01/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 09/02/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 22/02/2026 | 5th | 11/10 | 94% | 0% | -0.94 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 04/05/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 43% | -0.45 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 23/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 06/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |