1
Lermoos Legend
11yo Gelding · 12-2 · OR 112
Stratford · Jodie Standing's Point-To-Point Recruits Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 6f 125y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
90%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Fontwell | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Cartmel | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Cartmel | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Worcester | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Ffos Las | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 52/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength82%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 22/09/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 14/10/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 22/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |