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9yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 110

Stratford · Jodie Standing's Point-To-Point Recruits Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 6f 125y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Unreliable type who lost way last season. Presented with a very soft opening when winning a match at Hereford (21f) in May and while he finished tailed off at Worcester (23f) next time, he got back on track to an extent when third of 4 after a breathing operation at Newton Abbot. Cheekpieces added.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wetherby 27/12/2022 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR - · 2m Sft 15427/1244 @ Carlisle 06/02/2023 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 116 · 2m1f Goo 166 · below its mark06/02/2023 · OR 116 par4 @ Wetherby 06/03/2023 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 116 · 2m Goo 166 · beat its mark06/03/2023 · OR 116 par6/034OR 1164 @ Newcastle 16/01/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 113 · 2m4f19y Goo 161 · below its mark16/01/2025 · OR 113 par4 @ Bangor-on-Dee 12/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 114 · 2m4f72y Gd 163 · beat its mark12/04/2025 · OR 114 par12/044OR 1144 @ Southwell 14/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 116 · 2m4f88y Sft 164 · below its mark14/11/2025 · OR 116 par4 @ Hereford 12/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 2 · OR 110 · 2m4f194y Goo 168 · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 110 par12/054OR 1104 @ Worcester 01/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 112 · 2m7f Gd 168 · below its mark01/07/2026 · OR 112 par4 @ Newton Abbot 27/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 111 · 2m4f216y Goo 169 · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 111 par27/084OR 111projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Newton Abbot43rd3rd0
2026-07-01Worcester410th10th0
2026-05-12Hereford41st1st0
2026-01-24Uttoxeter40
2025-12-14Southwell40
2025-11-14Southwell45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1216/0112/0527/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 67/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength19%

Delivery trend -7.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/12/20221st17/255%100%+0.45
06/02/20237th15/261%50%-0.11
06/03/20231st10/1195%100%+0.05
16/01/20252nd12/137%86%+0.49
12/04/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
14/11/20255th20/10%20%+0.20
12/05/20261st11/588%100%+0.12
01/07/202610th8/158%10%-0.48
27/08/20263rd13/266%33%-0.32