
Golly Gosh
5yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 76
Stratford · Racing TV Handicap Chase · 2m 3f 98y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 7.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Warwick | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-11 | Huntingdon | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-11 | Hereford | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-02 | Southwell | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Huntingdon | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 4. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 07/12/2025 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 02/02/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 11/02/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |