5
Broadway Sky
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 72
Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 34/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength52%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 09/12/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 24/12/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 07/01/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 24/02/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 12/03/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 08/09/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 16/09/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |