1
Harbour Bridge
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 1 · OR 80
Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
69%
Place Prob
45%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength68%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 01/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 04/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 10/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |