9
All That Sass
3yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 9 · OR 25
Thistledown · Race 3 - Allowance · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
22%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-13 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 24/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength51%
Delivery trend +26.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 57% | -0.36 |
| 13/08/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 17/09/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |