2
Bold Sally
3yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 2 · OR 32
Thistledown · Race 3 - Allowance · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
36%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-13 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-02 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 63/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength94%
Delivery trend +27.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 23/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 17/09/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |