3
Leftitforyou
3yo Gelding · 8-3 · Draw 3 · OR 68
Thistledown · Race 5 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-06 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-26 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 55/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength24%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 09/12/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 24/12/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 01/02/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 26/02/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 19/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 06/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 89% | +0.01 |
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |