9

Chick With A Drill

3yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 9

Thistledown · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength25%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Thistledown 13/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS13/08C6C9 @ Thistledown 14/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 5f110y 11914/09C9projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Thistledown?7th7th0
2026-08-13Thistledown?8th5th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 7-7 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength33%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/08/20268th9/153%13%-0.40
14/09/20267th11/271%33%-0.38