10
Machiko
3yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 10
Thistledown · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Thistledown | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 8-10 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 29/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 14/09/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |