1
Pleasure Pearl
4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 90
Thistledown · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
92%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-10-14 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 86/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 22% | -0.57 |
| 03/07/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 12/08/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 14/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 03/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 14/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |