5
Team Chiquita
3yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 5
Thistledown · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Thistledown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 53/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength47%
Delivery trend +17.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/07/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 14/09/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |