6
Electric Eden
3yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 6 · OR 56
Thistledown · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
20%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength86%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 11/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 21/09/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |