IvyArcIvyArc
5

Miss Elecktra

3yo Filly · 8-3 · Draw 5 · OR 80

Thistledown · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

65%

Place Prob

47%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength37%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Thistledown 17/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 5f Fas 11517/06C6C5 @ Mahoning Valley 17/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 74 · 6f Slo 116 · beat its mark17/02/2026 · OR 74 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 02/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 70 · 5f110y Gd 121 · beat its mark02/03/2026 · OR 70 par2/03C5OR 70C5 @ Mahoning Valley 19/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 63 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/03/2026 · OR 63 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 02/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 72 · 6f 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/04/2026 · OR 72 par2/04C5OR 72C5 @ Thistledown 27/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 74 · 5f110y 115 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 74 parC5 @ Thistledown 13/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 74 · 6f Fas 119 · beat its mark13/05/2026 · OR 74 par13/05C5OR 74C5 @ Thistledown 20/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 78 · 6f 117 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 78 par20/06C5OR 78projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-20Thistledown?2nd2nd0
2026-05-13Thistledown?3rd3rd0
2026-04-27Thistledown?1st1st0
2026-04-02Mahoning Valley?2nd1st+1
2026-03-19Mahoning Valley?2nd1st+1
2026-03-02Mahoning Valley?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0619/0313/0520/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 63/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength83%

Delivery trend -2.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/06/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
17/02/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
02/03/20264th9/276%40%-0.36
19/03/20262nd16/116%86%+0.70
02/04/20262nd11/271%88%+0.16
27/04/20261st4/998%100%+0.02
13/05/20263rd9/488%60%-0.28
20/06/20262nd2/189%83%-0.06