3
She's Willie Fast
4yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 3 · OR 77
Thistledown · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength37%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/2025 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 11/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 01/09/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 24/09/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |