5
Bold Popper
3yo Filly · 8-4 · Draw 5
Thistledown · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Thistledown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 60/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength75%
Delivery trend +32.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 13/08/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |