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7

Everynowandthen

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 7 · OR 36

Thistledown · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

11%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Mountaineer 06/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 6f Slo 1246/07C6C6 @ Thistledown 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 53 · 6f 123 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 53 par23/07C6OR 53C6 @ Thistledown 13/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 42 · 5f110y 123 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 42 par13/08C6OR 42C6 @ Thistledown 27/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 32 · 5f110y Fas 123 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 32 par27/08C6OR 32C6 @ Thistledown 16/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 32 · 6f Fas 123 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 32 par16/09C6OR 32projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Thistledown?3rd3rd0
2026-08-27Thistledown?3rd3rd0
2026-08-13Thistledown?8th8th0
2026-07-23Thistledown?2nd2nd0
2026-07-06Mountaineer?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0723/0713/0827/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 27/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength51%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/07/20266th16/116%17%+0.01
23/07/20262nd4/179%86%+0.07
13/08/20268th11/486%0%-0.86
27/08/20263rd8/158%75%+0.17
16/09/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10