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6

Bassrah

2yo Filly · 9-1 · Draw 5 · OR 76

Wolverhampton · Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Nursery (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 142y

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

110,000 gns Wootton Bassett filly from a good family. Improved again when fourth behind subsequent winners in valuable maiden on return at Sandown (7f). Disappointed at Ayr (1m) subsequently, though, and will need to resume progress to make a winning all-weather/handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength73%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Nottingham 26/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f18y Goo 12826/0442 @ Yarmouth 20/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 6f3y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS20/0522 @ Sandown 29/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS29/0823 @ Ayr 17/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 78 · 1m Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 78 par17/093OR 78projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Ayr35th4th+1
2026-08-29Sandown24th2nd+2
2026-05-20Yarmouth22nd0th+2
2026-04-26Nottingham46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0420/0529/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 47/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength78%

Delivery trend +7.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/04/20266th9/276%29%-0.48
20/05/20262nd9/488%86%-0.02
29/08/20264th14/126%57%+0.31
17/09/20265th15/890%56%-0.35