4
Clive The Writer
2yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 6 · OR 78
Wolverhampton · Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Nursery (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 142y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength50%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Sandown | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Kempton | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Newbury | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 6-6 · tight 82/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -28.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2026 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 05/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 27/09/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |