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2

Wilbur

2yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 3 · OR 79

Wolverhampton · Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Nursery (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 142y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

23%

Place Prob

32%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped well when close second under a hands-and-heels ride on qualifying run here (7f) in mid-July. Opening mark looks lenient given the strength of that form (3 next-time-out winners in behind) and the one to beat if returning from 11 weeks away in the same form (has been gelded).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength57%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 15/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f Gd 13315/0543 @ Catterick 11/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 7f6y GS 133 · HIGHER CLASS11/0633 @ Wolverhampton 14/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 78 · 7f36y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 78 par14/073OR 78projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Wolverhampton32nd1st+1
2026-06-11Catterick33rd2nd+1
2026-05-15Newbury44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0511/0614/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 32/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength29%

Delivery trend -26.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20264th16/116%67%+0.51
11/06/20263rd5/696%50%-0.46
14/07/20262nd6/594%91%-0.03